Assessing Sustainable Autonomous Driving Performance by Real-World Multi-Dimensional Conflict Hotspot Analysis

초록

Autonomous driving technology is widely recognized as a key solution for enhancing future road safety by preventing traffic accidents caused by human error. However, the widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles (AVs) has not yet been achieved, and traffic accidents involving autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic conditions continue to be reported. This study analyzed conflict events using real-world autonomous driving data and identified AV conflict hotspots. A two-dimensional Time to Collision was employed as a surrogate safety indicator to comprehensively capture various types of conflicts in urban interrupted traffic flow. Analysis of approximately 1000 h of driving data revealed 958,011 conflict events, which were distributed along major AV trajectories. The Network Kernel Density Estimation was applied to identify AV conflict hotspots based on conflict events. The optimal hotspot identification model was determined by evaluating various parameter combinations using the Predictive Accuracy Index validated against real-world accident data. Several hotspots were identified on arterial roads with signalized intersections, nearby bus stops, and frequent access points to roadside facilities such as restaurants, stores, gas stations, and residential complexes. Differences in hotspot patterns by conflict type reveal distinct risk characteristics across road sections, emphasizing the necessity of customized safety countermeasures for each conflict type. The findings of this study are expected to accelerate the deployment and wider adoption of autonomous driving technology, promoting the sustainable operation of AVs.

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