탈세계화 2.0을 둘러싼 최근 논의에 대한 비판적 검토: 슬로벌라이제이션과 탈세계화 담론을 중심으로

초록

With the return of the Trump administration, the economic shift toward deglobalization is posing new challenges and choices for the Korean economy—which is highly dependent on overseas markets—in the areas of economics, political security, and diplomacy. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of Deglobalization 2.0 is essential to proactively respond to these changing circumstances. To this end, this study critically examines the phenomenon of ‘Deglobalization 2.0,’ which became prominent after the 2008 global financial crisis, as well as recent discussions on the topic (including slowbalization and deglobalization discourses). Within the historical context of repeated cycles of globalization and deglobalization, the study compares and analyzes various perspectives on the current direction of the world economy and possible future scenarios. The analysis reveals that, in terms of economic trends, policy, and political landscape, not all countries are experiencing deglobalization in a uniform manner; rather, different countries exhibit divergent trends and directions of change. Furthermore, four distinct scenarios are suggested regarding the future outlook. In order to understand the uncertainties and complexities associated with deglobalization, it is necessary to actively incorporate the insights and findings of economic historians who have studied Deglobalization 1.0. Emphasizing intrinsic analysis and focusing on the interaction between politics and economics from a political economy or international political economy perspective also appears to be essential.

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