폭염위험지수를 활용한 행정구역별 폭염 위기경보 발령 기준 설정

Development of Heatwave Crisis Alert Standard for Administrative Districts Using Heatwave Risk Index
  • 김동욱
  • 염웅선
  • 송주일
  • 안재현
  • 김태웅

초록

The current heatwave crisis alert system considers the daily maximum temperature alone; therefore, the present study proposed a new method for estimating the daily heatwave crisis alert level. Specifically, the heatwave risk index was calculated by combining regional vulnerability, as estimated using principal component analysis, and normalized daily maximum temperature. The crisis alert level was classified according to the risk index value using the natural breaks method. The correlation coefficient between the heatwave risk index and heat-related morbidity rate was approximately 0.4. In addition, analysis of variance confirmed significant differences in the heat-related morbidity rate among different crisis alert levels. The current method is limited in that it does not take into account the various regional environmental characteristics, which may results in an ambiguous alert standard; however, this shortcoming may be resolved using the proposed heatwave risk index. Therefore, the results of the present study may be valuable for risk assessment and management in Korea.

키워드

폭염위험지수위기경보주성분분석Natural BreaksHeatwaveRisk IndexCrisis AlertPrincipal Component AnalysisNatural Breaks
제목
폭염위험지수를 활용한 행정구역별 폭염 위기경보 발령 기준 설정
제목 (타언어)
Development of Heatwave Crisis Alert Standard for Administrative Districts Using Heatwave Risk Index
저자
김동욱염웅선송주일안재현김태웅
DOI
10.9798/KOSHAM.2022.22.5.47
발행일
2022-10
저널명
한국방재학회논문집
22
5
페이지
47 ~ 58